I believe when all is said and done, the only movement will be A&M to the SEC and an eastern school. Right now West Virginia appears to be the frontrunner there. If that happens, the Big 12 will add BYU. No brainer.
The interesting thing will be if the Big East does nothing, thereby staying at eight, adds one school (Temple and the service academies will be contacted for their interest, or perhaps a CUSA school (UCF?)...or if the Big East says we're tired of living on the edge and adds two or four schools (doubtful).
I think the Big 12 stays intact. I think one CUSA school to the Big East.
Then it just becomes who CUSA adds. Regardless of what you hear out of Ruston, I think WKU is a prime candidate, although if UCF goes to the Big East, CUSA may want to keep a Florida presence by adding FIU or FAU.
that's the only way the belt gets affected.
Now, if the four teams bolt to the PAC, you have a scenario that doesn't affect us at all. Unless we add some WAC schools.
If the PAC adds four, the Big 12 is done. The Big East takes Mizzou, the two Kansas schools and Baylor to go to 12, with WVU going to the SEC.
That leaves Iowa State, who gets gobbled up by the Mountain West.
the MWC would be at eleven and would add Utah State from the WAC, which would put the WAC in jeopardy.
Then the Sun Belt can sit still or cherry pick two WAC schools and put them out of their misery.