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Thread: Remaining SBC Games

  1. #21
    Join Date
    Jan 2002
    Location
    Louisiana A
    Posts
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    Default Re: Remaining SBC Games

    Quote Originally Posted by Cajunfanatico View Post
    According to a poster on the Belt forum, Louisiana could still possibly host the Championship game. I don't see how, but here's his layout.

    "There is actually a crazy scenario where Louisiana could still host. This would require 6 upsets according to FPI, including Texas State beating App State and Troy.

    Louisiana would host if:

    1. They win out.
    2. Troy loses out.
    3. App State loses to Texas State and Georgia State but beats Troy.
    4. Georgia Southern beats Troy but loses to Coastal and Georgia State.
    5. Louisiana's computer ranking is higher than Georgia Southern's.

    Georgia Southern, Troy, and App State would all be 5-3. Georgia Southern would win the tiebreaker due to their 2-0 record against the other 2.

    Louisiana and Georgia Southern would have matching 5-3 conference records and do not play head-to-head, so the host would be the team with the higher computer ranking.

    After all that, Louisiana would probably STILL miss out due to having a lower computer ranking than GS, but it's theoretically possible.



    No such scenario exists for Arkansas State, by the way. Only ULM and Louisiana can theoretically host."

    That Coastal loss keeps rearing its ugly head.
    Woo Hoo

    Make it happen.

  2. #22
    Join Date
    Sep 2004
    Posts
    1,508

    Default Re: Remaining SBC Games

    Quote Originally Posted by Cajunfanatico View Post
    According to a poster on the Belt forum, Louisiana could still possibly host the Championship game. I don't see how, but here's his layout.

    "There is actually a crazy scenario where Louisiana could still host. This would require 6 upsets according to FPI, including Texas State beating App State and Troy.

    Louisiana would host if:

    1. They win out.
    2. Troy loses out.
    3. App State loses to Texas State and Georgia State but beats Troy.
    4. Georgia Southern beats Troy but loses to Coastal and Georgia State.
    5. Louisiana's computer ranking is higher than Georgia Southern's.

    Georgia Southern, Troy, and App State would all be 5-3. Georgia Southern would win the tiebreaker due to their 2-0 record against the other 2.

    Louisiana and Georgia Southern would have matching 5-3 conference records and do not play head-to-head, so the host would be the team with the higher computer ranking.

    After all that, Louisiana would probably STILL miss out due to having a lower computer ranking than GS, but it's theoretically possible.



    No such scenario exists for Arkansas State, by the way. Only ULM and Louisiana can theoretically host."

    That Coastal loss keeps rearing its ugly head.
    I would be happy to just make it to the game.

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