Page 1 of 4 1 2 3 4 LastLast
Results 1 to 20 of 72

Thread: Cajuns' Softball RPI

  1. #1
    Join Date
    May 2002
    Location
    Austin, Texas
    Posts
    5,020

    UL Softball Cajuns' Softball RPI

    Here is a crack at the latest RPIs of teams around the Cajuns battling for the last national seed spots.

    Some caveats ...
    1) I do not have the latest OOWP calculations. I am using OOWP from the 5/7 NCAA report. However, I do not expect a significant change at this point in time. If a pair of teams are very close, it would make a difference.

    2) To calculate the RPI bonuses, you need to calculate the full Base RPI (all 295 teams). The only thing that can change with the RPI bonuses after the 5/7 report is if teams happen to slide tiers and those teams happen to be opponents of the below. Even if there are some changes, sometimes multiple changes cancel each other out. But it is certainly possible this could make a difference. As a reminder ...

    .0028 RPI bonus points for each win vs. Base RPI 1->25
    .0021 RPI bonus points for each win vs. Base RPI 26->50
    .0014 RPI bonus points for each win vs. Base RPI 51->75

    Thus, you are talking about .0007 (one way or another) for each team sliding a bonus tier ... except for the 51->75 tier, which would be .0014 on the downside.

    RPI penalties do not come into play for these teams.

    --

    #13 James Madison .64643
    #14 LSU .64493
    #15 Alabama .63750
    #16 Louisiana .63564
    #17 Kentucky .63375
    #18 BYU .63207
    #19 Utah .63061
    #20 Ole Miss .62903

    Note: I expect BYU's RPI to fall as they have two remaining games against a weak opponent (#243 Saint Mary's 16-29).

    There is still much remaining action that can affect this, most notably ...

    Washington at Utah
    LSU vs. Ole Miss

    LSU can catch James Madison, which would be good for the Cajuns ... as it would bring James Madison's RPI rank closer to that of the Cajuns.

    An Ole Miss win over LSU projects Ole Miss to .63140.

    Might the Cajuns get the nod over Alabama due to their series win over the Crimson Tide? Might the committee go with Kentucky?

    Brian


  2. #2
    Join Date
    May 2002
    Location
    Austin, Texas
    Posts
    5,020

    Default Re: Cajuns' Softball RPI

    Note that Utah (home team) leads Washington 12-11 T7th with a runner at 1st base and 1 out.

    Brian


  3. #3
    Join Date
    Mar 2016
    Posts
    294

    Default Re: Cajuns' Softball RPI

    Washington takes a 13-12 lead T8th after being down 12-1


  4. #4
    Join Date
    May 2002
    Location
    Austin, Texas
    Posts
    5,020

    UL Softball Re: Cajuns' Softball RPI

    Quote Originally Posted by ragincajun97 View Post
    Washington takes a 13-12 lead T8th after being down 12-1
    After a big 3-2 count, two out error by the Utah second baseman in the T7th to tie the game and keep the Huskies alive.

    If you are on the national seed bubble and get swept at home the final weekend after blowing a 12-1 lead ... you should not be hosting.

    Brian

  5. #5
    Join Date
    May 2002
    Location
    Austin, Texas
    Posts
    5,020

    Default Re: Cajuns' Softball RPI

    North Dakota State now three outs away from defeating IUPUI, leading 5-3 in the B6th.

    Brian


  6. #6
    Join Date
    May 2002
    Location
    Austin, Texas
    Posts
    5,020

    UL Softball Re: Cajuns' Softball RPI

    Washington sweeps Utah ... winning 13-12 today in 8 innings (after trailing 12-1).

    Utah has lost five of their last six games (lost 2/3 at Oregon State last weekend) ... and just melted down today.

    Brian


  7. #7
    Join Date
    Oct 2011
    Location
    Ventura, California
    Posts
    3,739

    Default Re: Cajuns' Softball RPI

    Am i mistaken or does cajuns currently have better record than last three times hosted? Seems if you do better than a time u hosted, why would hosting be in doubt?


  8. #8
    VObserver's Avatar
    VObserver is offline Ragin Cajuns of Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Greatest Fan Ever
    Join Date
    Jun 2002
    Location
    Abbeville, LA
    Posts
    5,148

    UL Softball Re: Cajuns' Softball RPI

    Quote Originally Posted by 31Ragin97 View Post
    Am i mistaken or does cajuns currently have better record than last three times hosted? Seems if you do better than a time u hosted, why would hosting be in doubt?
    We did not play as good an OOC schedule as usual, and the SBC slipped slightly as a conference. Playing so many home games did not help us, either.

  9. #9
    Join Date
    Oct 2011
    Location
    Ventura, California
    Posts
    3,739

    Default Re: Cajuns' Softball RPI

    Quote Originally Posted by VObserver View Post
    We did not play as good an OOC schedule as usual, and the SBC slipped slightly as a conference. Playing so many home games did not help us, either.
    Thanks. Ironic need to play on road to proove u can host?

  10. #10
    RaginScotsman's Avatar
    RaginScotsman is offline Ragin Cajuns of Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Greatest Fan Ever
    Join Date
    Mar 2010
    Posts
    6,163

    Default Re: Cajuns' Softball RPI

    So Ole Miss up on Baton Rouge 4-0. Are we tiger fans (gross) tonight?


  11. #11
    Join Date
    Oct 2011
    Location
    Ventura, California
    Posts
    3,739

    Default Re: Cajuns' Softball RPI

    Wow, didnt think they would resign themselves to have another game today, thought for sure the four letter would have a good time slot for them tomorrow


  12. #12
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Location
    League City, TX
    Posts
    1,694

    Default Re: Cajuns' Softball RPI

    Does Aliceshoe's loss help our chances to host?


  13. #13
    Join Date
    May 2002
    Location
    Austin, Texas
    Posts
    5,020

    Default Re: Cajuns' Softball RPI

    Quote Originally Posted by Fais do-do View Post
    Does Aliceshoe's loss help our chances to host?
    I discussed this ... in this very thread.

    No ... it hurt.

    Brian

  14. #14
    Join Date
    May 2002
    Location
    Austin, Texas
    Posts
    5,020

    Default Re: Cajuns' Softball RPI

    Quote Originally Posted by 31Ragin97 View Post
    Thanks. Ironic need to play on road to proove u can host?
    Road schedule is not going to keep the Cajuns away from a national seed. A little better OOC scheduling would have secured it ... but there is still a chance.

    Brian

  15. #15
    Join Date
    May 2002
    Location
    Austin, Texas
    Posts
    5,020

    Default Re: Cajuns' Softball RPI

    Update after today's games ...

    The latest RPIs of teams battling for the last national seed spots. Note that there are a few games that have not been played (scheduled for tomorrow), but they will have minimal impact.

    Some caveats ...
    1) I do not have the latest OOWP calculations. I am using calculated OOWP from the 5/7 NCAA report. However, I do not expect a significant change at this point in time. If a pair of teams are very close, it would make a difference and ranking positions could be swapped.

    2) To calculate the RPI bonuses, you need to calculate the full Base RPI (all 295 teams). The only thing that can change with the RPI bonuses after the 5/7 report is if teams happen to slide tiers and those teams happen to be opponents of the below. Even if there are some changes, sometimes multiple changes cancel each other out. But it is certainly possible this could make a difference. As a reminder ...

    .0028 RPI bonus points for each win vs. Base RPI 1->25
    .0021 RPI bonus points for each win vs. Base RPI 26->50
    .0014 RPI bonus points for each win vs. Base RPI 51->75

    Thus, you are talking about .0007 (one way or another) for each team sliding a bonus tier ... except for the 51->75 tier, which would be .0014 on the downside.

    RPI penalties do not come into play for these teams.

    --

    #13 James Madison .64634
    #14 LSU .64223
    #15 Alabama .63736
    #16 Louisiana .63582
    #17 Kentucky .63392
    #18 Ole Miss .63112
    #19 Utah .62800
    #20 BYU .62605

    BYU dropped a game today vs. woeful Saint Mary's ... hence the sharp drop. But I expect them to hold on to #20 as the teams behind them lost and there was a bit of a gap.

    Might Louisiana (modest 3-2 vs. RPI Top 25) get the nod over Alabama (only 8-13 vs. RPI Top 25) due to their series win over the Crimson Tide if they finish #15/#16 in the RPI rankings? Is James Madison awarded a national seed due to their #13 RPI ranking, despite doing little vs. the RPI Top 25 (1-1) and possessing a bad loss on their resume (150+ RPI)?

    Will the committee grant #18 Ole Miss a national seed due to their conference tournament championship, despite finishing 8th during the regular season with a 10-14 record (swept three times)? They went 11-14 vs. the RPI Top 25 and 15-17 vs. the RPI Top 50, but closed with 8 wins in their last 10 on their path to the SEC Tournament championship. At present, Ole Miss also has a bad loss on their resume vs. #157 North Dakota State. But it is possible that NDSU pushes into the RPI Top 150 after going 4-1 this week.

    It seems that Utah is out of the discussion ... and Kentucky's thunder seems to have been stolen by Ole Miss.

    Brian


    Quote Originally Posted by GoneGolfin View Post
    Here is a crack at the latest RPIs of teams around the Cajuns battling for the last national seed spots.

    Some caveats ...
    1) I do not have the latest OOWP calculations. I am using OOWP from the 5/7 NCAA report. However, I do not expect a significant change at this point in time. If a pair of teams are very close, it would make a difference.

    2) To calculate the RPI bonuses, you need to calculate the full Base RPI (all 295 teams). The only thing that can change with the RPI bonuses after the 5/7 report is if teams happen to slide tiers and those teams happen to be opponents of the below. Even if there are some changes, sometimes multiple changes cancel each other out. But it is certainly possible this could make a difference. As a reminder ...

    .0028 RPI bonus points for each win vs. Base RPI 1->25
    .0021 RPI bonus points for each win vs. Base RPI 26->50
    .0014 RPI bonus points for each win vs. Base RPI 51->75

    Thus, you are talking about .0007 (one way or another) for each team sliding a bonus tier ... except for the 51->75 tier, which would be .0014 on the downside.

    RPI penalties do not come into play for these teams.

    --

    #13 James Madison .64643
    #14 LSU .64493
    #15 Alabama .63750
    #16 Louisiana .63564
    #17 Kentucky .63375
    #18 BYU .63207
    #19 Utah .63061
    #20 Ole Miss .62903

    Note: I expect BYU's RPI to fall as they have two remaining games against a weak opponent (#243 Saint Mary's 16-29).

    There is still much remaining action that can affect this, most notably ...

    Washington at Utah
    LSU vs. Ole Miss

    LSU can catch James Madison, which would be good for the Cajuns ... as it would bring James Madison's RPI rank closer to that of the Cajuns.

    An Ole Miss win over LSU projects Ole Miss to .63140.

    Might the Cajuns get the nod over Alabama due to their series win over the Crimson Tide? Might the committee go with Kentucky?

    Brian

  16. #16
    Join Date
    Oct 2002
    Location
    Lafayette
    Posts
    2,740

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by GoneGolfin View Post
    Update after today's games ...

    The latest RPIs of teams battling for the last national seed spots. Note that there are a few games that have not been played (scheduled for tomorrow), but they will have minimal impact.

    Some caveats ...
    1) I do not have the latest OOWP calculations. I am using calculated OOWP from the 5/7 NCAA report. However, I do not expect a significant change at this point in time. If a pair of teams are very close, it would make a difference and ranking positions could be swapped.

    2) To calculate the RPI bonuses, you need to calculate the full Base RPI (all 295 teams). The only thing that can change with the RPI bonuses after the 5/7 report is if teams happen to slide tiers and those teams happen to be opponents of the below. Even if there are some changes, sometimes multiple changes cancel each other out. But it is certainly possible this could make a difference. As a reminder ...

    .0028 RPI bonus points for each win vs. Base RPI 1->25
    .0021 RPI bonus points for each win vs. Base RPI 26->50
    .0014 RPI bonus points for each win vs. Base RPI 51->75

    Thus, you are talking about .0007 (one way or another) for each team sliding a bonus tier.

    RPI penalties do not come into play for these teams.

    --

    #13 James Madison .64634
    #14 LSU .64223
    #15 Alabama .63736
    #16 Louisiana .63582
    #17 Kentucky .63392
    #18 Ole Miss .63112
    #19 Utah .62800
    #20 BYU .62605

    BYU dropped a game today vs. woeful Saint Mary's ... hence the sharp drop. But I expect them to hold on to #20 as the teams behind them lost and there was a bit of a gap.

    Might Louisiana (modest 3-2 vs. RPI Top 25) get the nod over Alabama (only 8-13 vs. RPI Top 25) due to their series win over the Crimson Tide if they finish #15/#16 in the RPI rankings? Is James Madison awarded a national seed due to their #13 RPI ranking, despite doing little vs. the RPI Top 25 (1-1) and possessing a bad loss on their resume (150+ RPI)?

    Will the committee grant #18 Ole Miss a national seed due to their conference tournament championship, despite finishing 8th during the regular season with a 10-14 record (swept three times)? They went 11-14 vs. the RPI Top 25 and 15-17 vs. the RPI Top 50, but closed with 8 wins in their last 10 on their path to the SEC Tournament championship. At present, Ole Miss also has a bad loss on their resume vs. #157 North Dakota State. But it is possible that NDSU pushes into the RPI Top 150 after going 4-1 this week.

    It seems that Utah is out of the discussion ... and Kentucky's thunder seems to have been stolen by Ole Miss.

    Brian


    Wow! Really coming down to the wire. Will make tomorrow night very interesting!!!

  17. #17
    Join Date
    Oct 2011
    Location
    Ventura, California
    Posts
    3,739

    Default Re: Cajuns' Softball RPI

    Quote Originally Posted by GoneGolfin View Post
    Road schedule is not going to keep the Cajuns away from a national seed. A little better OOC scheduling would have secured it ... but there is still a chance.

    Brian
    Sounds like a selfulfilling prophecy, why would those we are competing with for slot to host agree to play us if by them not playing us we are harmed, more irony in this system?

  18. #18
    Join Date
    Oct 2004
    Location
    Louisiana, duh
    Posts
    13,922

    Default Re: Cajuns' Softball RPI

    Reading this thread now is...I don't even have the words.


  19. #19
    Join Date
    May 2003
    Location
    Lafayette
    Posts
    3,646

    Default Re: Cajuns' Softball RPI

    Final softball RPI......

    See post below...... #'s in this post were incorrect.

    Last edited by Cajun90; May 15th, 2017 at 10:02 am. Reason: Fix mistakes

  20. #20
    Join Date
    May 2003
    Location
    Lafayette
    Posts
    3,646

    Default Re: Cajuns' Softball RPI

    see post below for corrections.

    Last edited by Cajun90; May 15th, 2017 at 10:03 am. Reason: fix mistakes.

Page 1 of 4 1 2 3 4 LastLast

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •